Odile gone, What about Polo

backlashjack

Scallywag
May 14, 2007
1,818
733
Alta Loma, CA
Name
Jackson
Boat
Sold the boat, now I just rent a stateroom on the EXCEL
Looks like hurricane Odile has run its' course - wreaking havoc - and soon will be gone. We have a new one building up TS Polo. Any ideas on how Polo will effect LR boats fishing next week?
 

Soda Pop

I've posted enough I should edit this section
Feb 12, 2011
2,570
3,611
Fresno, CA
Name
David Rouse
Boat
Long range fishing
Hope the hurricane season ends soon. I think Oct. is when they end.... I have a 15 day Oct. 17..... we are going 2 weeks latter this year. Last year it got a bit shaky out on the water.
 

Nuclieye

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Aug 22, 2006
156
110
Arizona
Name
Bob
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Water Missle
Got all the way down to the lower banks several years ago only to have a tropical depression that was forecast to dissipate quick turn into a cat % almost overnight and came straight at us. Couple of days we were not allowed on deck at all and we thought the fishing was over for sure. Kevin made the right calls and we ended up catching plenty of fish and turned the trip around 180. I don't regret that trip a bit and loved the experience. Its rarely a perfect trip no matter when you go or what boat you take. Enjoy it though!
 

Bill W

tunaholic
Jan 12, 2006
5,053
5,883
66
Chino Hills, Ca.
Name
Bill Walsh
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Red Rooster
That first long trip is all about timing the weather. First boat down, weather permitting, can get in to nice fishing. This year I am rolling the dice on a month later, in late November. Good luck to Soda Pop and the Intrepid.
 
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john e.

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Aug 26, 2012
343
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alta loma
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john
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any
Polo appears to be on track to head out to sea about halfway up the Baja coast on Sunday and track further northwest after that. Im on a 6 day leaving Sat morning so Hopefully there wont be any problems aside from a swell and maybe a strong breeze. As long as it doesnt get close to the coast Im good with the rest cus those folks down there could certainly use a break
 
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The Bushman

The Bushman
Mar 5, 2005
3,174
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El Cajon
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Ken Bush
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everyone elses
As long as its gone by the 27th, ill be happy. Looks like its headed out west before it affects trips this week.
 

Rodless_Jim

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Apr 3, 2008
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Jim
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I'm not worried about Polo now. Whatever it becomes and wherever it goes, the storm should be gone---one way or another---by the 27th or 28th.

I am just hoping against hope that no other storm forms on its heels.
 

harddrive

Wish I Was Fishing!
Sep 9, 2004
1,990
807
West LA
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Min
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None
Wish Rodless and Bushman luck on the weather and also the people of Baja. I don't remember being this many hurricane on the west coast in forever.
 

vegasandre

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Aug 20, 2010
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San Diego
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Andre
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Hurricane season ends on Nov 30 in the eastern Pacific. With the very high water temps this year it looks like all the trips will have to keep an extremely close eye on any potential tropical system development(as well as bait issues in current 80-88 deg water temps heading down south)
It looks like Polo is expected to take a more westerly turn after Saturday. Hopefully nothing develops immediately after that. I leave on the 26th also for a 6 day.

Going to be a interesting fall -fishing and weather wise.
 
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wxdunn

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Oct 11, 2009
877
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Mobile, AL
www.thefishingweatherman.com
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Chris
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none
What Andre said. :) I cover the latest on Polo in my weekly video update:

http://www.thefishingweatherman.com/index.php/videos/37-weekly-video-update

On my 5-day last week, Norbert kept the entire LR fleet from heading down the coast. Guys on 7 & 8 day trips were fishing SCI and Catalina for tuna because there was nowhere else to go and it was the best game in town. FORTUNATELY they had that option. Every year is different, every trip is different. Don't ever book a trip with the expectation of fishing a particular destination or catching a particular species of fish...just roll with the conditions!
 

reellady

I'd rather be catching TUNA
Aug 26, 2011
2,266
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fresno, ca usa
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donna
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reel lady
Hurricanes not fun, but the Captains watch them closely, you may not go where expected, but the Captains will try to keep you on the fish wherever he takes you. Water and winds can get a little rough.
 

john e.

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Aug 26, 2012
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latest from noaa shows Polo heading away from baja over the next couple of days and weakening to a trop depression by monday moving wnw
 

Hana pa'a Time

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Nov 29, 2005
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Oregon
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Kurt
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24' North River Seahawk hardtop "Ohana Time"
As long as its gone by the 27th, ill be happy. Looks like its headed out west before it affects trips this week.
X3!

I know that Odile wreaked havoc on Cabo and other parts of Baja. My buddy had his skipper with his family and others move the boat over to Mazatlan. They are loading the boat up with supplies and will be heading back to Cabo to help this week.
 

Rodless_Jim

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Apr 3, 2008
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Jim
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Well Polo is headed away from the fishing grounds and that's good news. Seems like a new Tropical Depression is beginning to form down by the Isthmus of Panama, though. To my uneducated eye, this one seems too far away and too nascent a storm to trouble us on our upcoming 8-day. It's a long way South, and it isn't even officially a Tropical Depression yet, according to NOAA. In any case, the building Storm hasn't yet earned a name.

But I am not a meteorologist, and what matters is where the damned thing will be 7-10 days from now. I'm crossing my fingers...
 

vegasandre

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Aug 20, 2010
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San Diego
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Andre
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Any Boat that I can go on
Hi Jim , that system probably will be named later today- Rachel. Moving w/nw at 10 mph. models right now have it mostly way west off southern tip by this weekend.
I wouldn't worry about it. couple models turning it west after that. But it bears watching for sure. This weekend there is going to be a stronger upper level low coming moving into the great basin , might be a little windy this weekend in upper zone- but may also block any possible northward movement of Rachel if it decides to move more northerly instead of westerly.


rachel 2.gif
rachel.gif
 

wxdunn

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Oct 11, 2009
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Mobile, AL
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Chris
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It looks to be in an area SW of Cabo by this weekend...still pretty far out. As we know with tropical systems (we've had plenty of opportunities to watch them this year) a lot can happen between here and there!

Capture.JPG
 
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sierraed

Long rods and big boats
Oct 10, 2011
231
143
Ventura, CA
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Ed
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Royal Polaris and Intrepid
Looking forward to more of the great analysis Chris. Lot's of us trying to kick off the 10 day season later this week! Thanks for all of the insight.

Ed
 
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wxdunn

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Oct 11, 2009
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Mobile, AL
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Chris
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Tuesday night run of the GFS model shows a system that isn't as strong, but still somewhat organized on Tuesday morning in the area of Alijos Rocks and Mag bay area. 8-10 day trips leaving this weekend might not be able to make the straight shot down to the lower zone (based on what we're seeing a week out) but you'll eventually be able to get there. The good news is it doesn't look as deep as the previous runs, BUT it's still a week out...

Capture.JPG
 

wxdunn

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Oct 11, 2009
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Mobile, AL
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Chris
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none
It's not moving particularly fast, but moving towards the wrong direction. The new advisory from NHC on the newly formed tropical depression keeps it no stronger than a tropical storm, but the intensity part of the forecast is always trickier than the track forecast. Again, it may delay your arrival at the rocks/Mag bay/Ridge, but I'm confident you WILL be able to fish those areas on a 7+ day trip leaving this weekend.

TD18e.gif
 
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Rodless_Jim

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Apr 3, 2008
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Mexico, DF, Mexico
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Jim
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Strictly a Rider
OK, thanks for the update. Looks like we may not only leave Saturday, but actually fish Saturday...which isn't a bad consolation prize at all.

Two years ago, we started this same trip (it was a 10-dayer then) headed NORTH because of a major storm on the fishing grounds. I suspect this will turn out better...and that was a great trip (for the most part) anyway.
 
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