Discussion in 'Fishing Chit Chat' started by matrixx611, Jun 15, 2018.
Nah weather guys never get it right
Right now the call is 50% chance of a weak El Nino, won't make a difference to fishing but for people who want the warm water species, it should keep them around instead of dumping us back into cold water conditions.
For the guys hoping for albacore, though... I'm sorry.
Is it really an El Niño? Seems more like a common yearly pattern at this point. Our planets changing...
A true El Nino comes with heavy winter rains on the west coast. When I see that it's a El Nino.
The forecast is for a 50% chance starting in like october. It will have zero effect this season. The rain would be this winter and the el nino would effect next summer as the water would not cool as much this winter allowing next year to be warmer.
2013, 14, 15, 16 and 17 was the el nino year, this year is not. Water will only be above 72 for 4 months this year.♂️
Actually technically 17 was a la nina, not that you could tell by the water temps.
stop being "weatherman" and go fish BlueFin while they are still here.....
Seems like every year is something, El Nino, La Nina. Is there a name for regular? We've had some really dry El Ninos too. Oceans really warm and we get hardly any rain. I call bullshit on the whole thing.
"50% chance" and they get to keep their jobs.
Maybe that's the case with a strong El Nino, but the correlation is not 1.00x.
Considering we have only had 2 El Ninos where a lot of study has been done I suspect eventually we will find that there is a longer cycle going on and all El Ninos are not the same.
Sure does feel like an albacore year though. Gloomy cooler june
It does, except for the fact we have 70 degree water inside clemente in mid june.
the annual "el nino?" thread lol
So you are saying this Nino is not like that Nino, or the other Ninos? This Nino may not be the Nino we thought he was.
We think we know so much. You're right, we have much to learn.
How can you be so sure, where &when is this going to take place??? Inshore/ Offshore, Mexican waters, Catalina, San Francisco???
For those of you that don’t speak Spanish, El Nino means, “The Nino”.
Go to the source and do not ignore that this is model based.....
"The majority of models in the IRI/CPC plume predict ENSO-neutral to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2018, with El Niño most likely thereafter [Fig. 6]. The forecaster consensus favors the onset of El Niño during the Northern Hemisphere fall, which would then continue through winter. These forecasts are supported by the ongoing build-up of heat within the tropical Pacific Ocean. In summary, ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere summer 2018, with the chance for El Niño increasing to 50% during fall, and ~65% during winter 2018-19 (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month period)."
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