its been a long time for me, but does this el nino typically bring warmer water to socal or cold water. What does this mean for BFT? is that a no show for them.... is it more a YFT anYT show on the banks???
El Niño allows the California Current to push farther north against the Humbolt Current, as I recall, and the water is warmer from the Equator north.
Bluefin are already here, and will likely remain so as long as the forage is there. El Niño temperature effects aren’t really drastic until Summer and Fall, if I recall correctly, and since the bluefin regulate their own body temperature to a large extent, they are more tolerable for acceptable temperature ranges.
Back in the day, bluefin used to be found in 58 - 65 degree water and were usually pushed onward once the temps got to 66 or better, again IIRC, but what we’ve seen the past two years since I’ve been back have shown the bluefin to be quite happy with temps in the mid to upper 70’s.
If the El Niño effect is strong this year, do look for significant numbers of quality yellowfin, dorado and yellowtail offshore this summer and fall.